Omar Usman – 3 Things I Learned from Little Bets Peter Sims

Omar Usman
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The speakers discuss the benefits of growth mindset and experiments in creating great ideas. Small wins are crucial for achieving success and finding the most successful ideas. Expansion mindset is crucial for achieving success and finding the most successful ideas, while constantly checking in on small wins can lead to failure and small wins can provide a roadmap for improvement. Expansion mindset is crucial for changing and being willing to fail fast.

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			In this video, I'm sharing 3 things I
		
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			learned from the book, Little Bets by Peter
		
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			Sims. And the basic premise of the book
		
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			is this, is that little bets, little experiments
		
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			and creative thinking can be used to identify
		
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			possibilities and achieve greater outcomes. One example that
		
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			he gives is like that of a comedian.
		
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			When we see someone like Chris Rock on
		
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			a Netflix special or an HBO special, what
		
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			we don't see are the dozens or hundreds
		
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			of experiments
		
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			that were put into crafting that special. We
		
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			don't see them right we don't see comedians
		
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			writing jokes and going to clubs every night
		
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			and testing them out. Testing out different punch
		
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			lines, different analogies, examples, test testing out different
		
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			word choice or tone of voice or any
		
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			of these things. But they go through multiple
		
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			iterations and experiments to figure out what is
		
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			the best way of doing this. That same
		
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			philosophy of experimentation
		
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			can be applied across multiple facets of life.
		
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			And so the first thing that I learned
		
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			was that great ideas
		
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			are not magically born.
		
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			They come about through a series of experiments.
		
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			One great example of this is the post
		
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			it note by 3 m. 3 m was
		
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			trying to develop a super strong adhesive and
		
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			through experiments and multiple iterations,
		
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			they ended up developing the post it note.
		
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			Challenge with this, you know, and now that
		
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			sounds like a great story. Say, okay, that's
		
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			great. I need to have this mindset
		
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			of just doing all different types of experiments
		
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			and I'll be successful.
		
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			The challenge is is that it requires deprogramming
		
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			a lot of things that we've grown up
		
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			with. See, in school, throughout our entire schooling
		
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			experience, we're taught a set of facts, we're
		
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			taught how to retain those facts, and then
		
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			we're tested on our retention of those facts.
		
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			When we get into the workplace or into
		
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			a career,
		
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			what we find is that management science is
		
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			basically trying to figure out how to break
		
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			down the tasks that we do into a
		
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			repeatable,
		
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			optimizable format so that we can be more
		
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			efficient.
		
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			The idea of just, you know, being able
		
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			to fail, to creatively think, to try different
		
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			things, it's a lot more difficult to achieve.
		
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			And so one of the things that we
		
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			get from this is that this mindset of
		
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			little bets, of experimenting,
		
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			if someone really understands this because it's more
		
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			rare, it's that much more of a valuable
		
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			skill and it actually helps you to achieve
		
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			and find and unearth those more successful ideas.
		
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			The second thing that I learned was that
		
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			a growth mindset is needed for Little Bets.
		
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			In order to experiment,
		
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			you're going to fail a lot. You're gonna
		
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			have a lot of things that you try
		
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			and they're not going to work. Now when
		
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			someone has a fixed mindset,
		
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			they think that their skills and their capacity
		
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			and their ability to succeed
		
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			has already determined. Like, I'm only gonna be
		
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			so good at x y z. And so
		
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			if I can't do it, there's no point
		
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			in trying. And so when they experiment and
		
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			try something and they fail, what they do
		
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			is number 1, they stop. But number 2,
		
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			is that they view it as a reflection
		
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			on themselves. That the fact that I'm failing
		
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			at this means I'm less intelligent or that
		
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			people are going to think badly of me.
		
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			I'm not gonna get the validation that I
		
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			need. A growth mindset on the other hand
		
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			is just approaching it almost like a scientist.
		
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			Like, okay.
		
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			I tried this experiment and it didn't work.
		
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			Now let's write down. Let's see. What did
		
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			we try? What were the variables? What can
		
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			I change? And let's iterate again and try
		
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			it again. They're looking at these failures as
		
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			an opportunity to to succeed. Like, okay. That
		
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			didn't work. Let's see if I can change
		
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			it. Let's see if I can get something
		
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			to work. And they view these as an
		
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			as a way essentially to fail forward. And
		
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			so someone with a growth mindset,
		
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			they're not concerned with what people think about
		
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			them. They're not concerned about that validation of
		
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			it working right away. They're just simply experimenting
		
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			and trying and see what they're able to
		
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			unearth.
		
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			The third thing that I got from this
		
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			book was the idea of small wins. And
		
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			now that's something that we're familiar with, but
		
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			small wins are vital when we're trying to
		
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			build something. See what happens a lot of
		
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			times is, especially in the business world, is
		
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			people come up with an idea
		
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			and or a service or a product,
		
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			and they think that they've got it figured
		
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			out. They'll take out a loan or they'll
		
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			try to raise a bunch of money and
		
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			they'll go out and do things,
		
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			and they've never actually validated the idea. They've
		
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			never seen that it actually works. And you
		
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			see this on the TV show Shark Tank
		
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			all the time. People show up and they've
		
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			got this product
		
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			and the investors say, like, okay. Well, what
		
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			do you have? Do you have any sales?
		
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			They're like, no. This is a ground floor
		
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			opportunity. They're like, okay. Well, what do you
		
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			have to show for it? Is there any
		
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			interest? You know, what what wins do you
		
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			have under your belt? And they'll be like,
		
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			well, it's just a great idea.
		
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			Well, the reality is a great idea is
		
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			just not enough, but a lot of people
		
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			think they have a great idea. They invest
		
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			everything they have into it, and then a
		
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			lot of times they end up failing. They
		
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			end up not succeeding because, really, with that
		
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			thing that they thought was a great idea,
		
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			the market didn't want it. And so they've
		
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			invested a lot and they've lost a lot
		
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			as a result.
		
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			A small lens mindset on the other hand
		
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			is saying, like, okay. I've got this great
		
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			idea. Let's figure out the smallest possible version
		
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			of that. So maybe I create a prototype,
		
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			and maybe I have some friends try it
		
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			out and see if it works. And if
		
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			that works, okay, now I can take the
		
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			next step. If not, if my friends didn't
		
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			like it, I can go back to the
		
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			drawing board and say, okay. What about this
		
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			prototype do I need to change? What needs
		
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			to be different in order to make it
		
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			work? And what happens is that when I'm
		
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			constantly checking in on small wins, it helps
		
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			me to develop a roadmap. It signals me.
		
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			Keep going down this path or
		
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			change direction. Or as, you know, they say
		
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			in the start up world, pivot.
		
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			But I have to be looking for those
		
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			small wins and seeking that validation
		
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			in order to be able to get that
		
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			signal of continuing or changing direction. And so
		
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			that's why I get on Shark Tank, you'll
		
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			see people come in and they'll be like,
		
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			okay. Well, I've got this great idea. My
		
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			you know, I did a Kickstarter campaign. I
		
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			raised a certain amount of money. I've got
		
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			a retailer that wants to purchase my product,
		
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			but I don't have the money to fulfill
		
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			that order. And so even though they don't
		
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			yet have 1,000,000 of dollars in revenue, they
		
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			don't have this great big success,
		
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			but they have enough small wins to indicate
		
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			that we're on the right path. And it's
		
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			those experiments
		
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			that really give you that signal. So make
		
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			sure you're always looking for small wins. Make
		
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			sure that you're experimenting. And the other thing
		
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			is be willing to fail fast. Being with
		
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			small wins, it gives you the ability to
		
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			fail quickly. See, with the comedian,
		
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			they're testing jokes that they wrote the same
		
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			day. And so they're not invested in that
		
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			idea. If it doesn't work, it doesn't work.
		
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			They can discard it and move on. When
		
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			we become emotionally invested in our idea or
		
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			financially invested in our idea, we've got a
		
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			lot more at stake.
		
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			When it doesn't get validated, it's a lot
		
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			it's a much tougher pill to swallow. And
		
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			so we keep churning our wheels, we keep
		
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			going down a path that
		
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			has no validation, has no feedback. But because
		
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			we're so bought into it, we have to
		
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			keep going and the failure becomes
		
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			that much tougher, that much harder to deal
		
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			with. So you fail fast. You look for
		
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			small wins. When you get those small wins,
		
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			you go down the direction that you need
		
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			to go. And these little bets, these little
		
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			experiments
		
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			open the doors to much greater success. Hope
		
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			you enjoyed the video. Please make sure you
		
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			you thought and what books you'd like to
		
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			see next. Thanks.